Moreover, the legal system has not been terribly sympathetic to conservatives’ grievances over their perceived loss of rights. For instance, some conservatives now propose using antitrust law to discipline Big Tech companies by breaking them up into smaller entities that presumably will be friendlier to their customers’ speech rights. Yet antitrust courts take consumer welfare seriously and are unlikely to view the complaints of an outspoken minority as necessitating such an abnegation of property rights. So, many of those same conservatives have joined with progressives in Congress, who have their own gripes against Silicon Valley, to move to change antitrust law, giving bureaucrats the power to override property rights and other corporate rights. It’s illiberal and, until very recently, would have been regarded as unconservative.
Libertarians, of course, have objected. For the most part, conservatives have reacted with anger or disdain. Libertarians are derided as “not getting it” or, worse, complicit in a progressive assault on free speech. Writers on conservative websites and from such places as the Claremont Institute have attacked libertarianism as a cancer in the conservative body, demanding it be expunged. Increasingly common is the view that conservatives must advance a “post-liberal” society. The most extreme of the New Right, the self-styled “integralists,” regard libertarians as just a form of progressive and suggest a reordering of society along one particular conception of the good life, which they term “common good conservatism.”
The speech and technology issue is just one of many that are causing friction between libertarians of various stripes and their erstwhile conservative allies. Conservative politicians are now urging new laws to force workers to sit on company boards, a clear violation of the rights to property and of free association. We are in a new era of protectionism, where free trade is sacrificed to prop up favored American industries. Immigration has become a dirty word. Proposals to ban certain activities that have long been viewed as constitutionally protected free expression are rife. Everywhere you look, the fusionist alliance is under severe strain.
What happened to turn so many conservatives against these natural rights? Some libertarians blame President Trump and his MAGA movement. That is a tempting explanation, but mistaken. If you look around the world, similar things are happening to conservatives all over. Boris Johnson’s Conservative Party is now the U.K.’s party of higher taxes, more government spending, intervention in the economy, and COVID restrictions. The old conservative parties in France and other European countries are in the process of being wiped out and replaced by something else (the same has happened to social democrats). The conservative Liberal Party government in Australia has been the most heavy-handed in any major developed country when it comes to COVID restrictions, even placing asymptomatic carriers in camps.
This is because politics around the world has undergone a significant realignment. For the past 80 or so years, political parties aligned around economics as the primary issue. You were either for free enterprise or for state direction. A secondary axis was social politics, which, when combined with the economic axis, led to the famous four-quadrant Nolan chart that segmented the politically aware into liberal (or progressive), libertarian, conservative, and authoritarian blocks.
Such neat categorizations no longer apply. What appears to have replaced economics as the primary aligning issue is identity. Conservatives around the world no longer center themselves in the economics of free enterprise, as Margaret Thatcher, Ronald Reagan, John Howard, and so many others did, but on their national identity. Boris Johnson championed Brexit, while President Trump proclaimed loudly that he stood for the American worker. This, noticeably, attracted large numbers of former supporters of opposing parties. The historian Éric Zemmour has come from nowhere to be a leading contender for the presidency of France by championing a robust French national identity. Leaders in Eastern Europe like Viktor Orbán are proudly nationalist.
This has affected the left, too. The Danish Social Democrats and other Nordic leftist parties have become very tough on immigration and trade. In America, however, the left has organized around identity—race, gender, sexual orientation, and a multitude of minority identitarian groupings (e.g., Black Hispanic transwoman) that derive from intersectional theory, which asserts that individuals are often put at a disadvantage by more than one source of oppression. As the primary political issue, it is driving things like education policy, which is why school board meetings, which progressives often control, have gone from being forums to decide where to spend money to contentious affairs concerning a host of such issues.
The ramifications of this realignment are both profound and far-reaching. Most notably for our current consideration is that it leaves both old-style liberals and libertarians without a political home. Both varieties of liberal are generally pluralistic and cosmopolitan, meaning that they oppose both nationalism and identitarianism.
Another, perhaps underappreciated, aspect of the realignment is the self-consciously Christian identity of many American nationalists. A lot of attention has been paid to the Catholic “integralism” of scholars like Adrian Vermeule, but Catholicism remains a minority denomination among American Christians. The Dispatch writer David French, a former conservative darling before the realignment, has drawn attention to the—literally—apocalyptic nature of the new American Christian right, particularly among Pentecostals. He writes: “MAGA Christian nationalism is emotional and spiritual, not intellectual or ideological … is concentrated in the churches most removed from elite American culture, including from elite Evangelicalism … [and is] often rooted in purported prophecies.”
Libertarians are strongly in favor of the separation of church and state, although they may worry that the free exercise clause of the Constitution has been devalued by the courts. The idea that American politics might be driven to some degree by a prophetic movement flat out scares them.
All of which suggests that libertarians have been driven out of a MAGA-focused right. Yet that may be a step too far, at least for now. They clearly have no home in an identarian-dominated left, either. Free traders who expressed support for President Biden have been ignored as the administration has doubled down on protectionist trade policies. As much as the attacks on Big Tech have increased on the right, progressives are even more enthusiastic about antitrust as a solution to every economic ill you can think of. Senator Elizabeth Warren has even suggested using it to fight inflation, on the crackpot conspiracy theory that American grocery stores have formed a de facto cartel aimed at squeezing more money out of American households.
Moreover, the identitarian left routinely decries capitalism as the product and continuing enforcer of structural racism. This accounts for the modern form of socialism being less focused on economics than previous versions. Socialism is needed not because of class conflict but because capitalism supports racism—as exemplified by The New York Times’ ahistorical 1619 Project, which contends that capitalism and slavery are inextricably linked, and unfounded attacks on free market economists like Nobel Prize winner James Buchanan for supporting color-blind policies that leftists deride as racist.
America has a two-party system. For libertarians to have any political influence, they have to ally with the dominant faction of one of the parties. That suggests that libertarians will have to settle for a diminished role on the right. It is important to remember that the Trump administration did adopt some libertarian-influenced policies, though not consistently and certainly not in all areas. It adopted a pro-energy stance and withdrew from the ruinously costly Paris Climate Treaty. It was mostly opposed to big labor and employment regulations. It was especially free market in its transportation policies. Appointments to nonexecutive agencies like Ajit Pai at the Federal Communications Commission and “cryptomom” Hester Peirce at the Securities and Exchange Commission drew predominantly from a base of scholars steeped in free enterprise economics. So reports of libertarianism’s demise may be exaggerated.
However, as identity issues come to bear in more and more areas—progressives, for instance, are looking to manipulate financial regulation to impose restrictions on industries like fossil fuels—the New Right will probably be inclined to use the power of government over the objections of libertarians concerned about natural rights.
In which case another opportunity might present itself. Remember those left-liberals and anti-war libertarians I mentioned earlier? They are increasingly out of place on the left. These old liberals are concerned about the rate and extent of woke politics coming to drive out all other considerations. This may have manifested itself in the recent recallof three “woke” members of the San Francisco School Board. Conservatives played no role in this. Moreover, capitalism has been very good to the political left’s donor class, which must surely view its rapid slide toward identity-focused socialism as a cause for concern.
With that in mind, it’s worth asking: Is it possible that left-liberals and economic libertarians might recombine in a new political block? For that to happen would require a decisive defeat of either woke socialism or nationalist conservatism. Either looks unlikely at present, but shifts within parties have happened before. The chances are small but cannot be completely discounted.
However, what is more likely is that libertarians will continue their alliance with conservatives. As economic ills caused by interventionist policies start to appear, libertarians will be well situated to point to free market policies to right the ship. The influence of the liberty-centered law and economics school on the judiciary will also continue, particularly on the Supreme Court. For instance, for the first time since the 1930s, the constitutionality of unaccountable nonexecutive agencies is in question.
Far from retreating to the offices of Reason, Cato, or the Competitive Enterprise Institute until the whole thing is over, libertarians are likely to continue to fight for the system of natural liberty and make their case to their conservative colleagues. In some areas, like trade, this will be difficult. However, libertarians have gone through periods of far less political influence in the past. I often think of Leonard Read, founder of the Foundation for Economic Education, or Pierre Goodrich, founder of Liberty Fund, and how lonely they must have felt in the post–New Deal era. Libertarians are not as lonely now and have a history of having been proved right that dates back all the way to Aristotle. That’s something conservatives should appreciate.